Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
After fall started early in New England, in the back of our minds we always knew it wasn't going to last forever. Summer-like weather has returned in force, with moderate levels of humidity and highs today reaching the mid 80s! After a period where we did get some meaningful rain, we go right back to dry conditions for the coming forecast period.
After fall started early in New England, in the back of our minds we always knew it wasn't going to last forever. Summer-like weather has returned in force, with moderate levels of humidity and highs today reaching the mid 80s! After a period where we did get some meaningful rain, we go right back to dry conditions for the coming forecast period.
Above: the 18z GFS Ensembles showing the projected 500mb pattern by the end of the week. An unusually strong and expansive ridge for this time of year will dominate our weather.
Climatology
October is right around the corner, so let's talk about what's normal! October is even more of a transition month than September, as we lose daylight and warmth at an even faster pace. October can really be a seesaw month, with temperatures in the 80s one week and snow the next. October usually brings our first freeze for most places inland, and can bring our first flakes inland in rare years (outside of NW CT).
Hartford (BDL Normals)
October 1 High/Low--70/48
October 15 High/Low--64/43
November 1 High/Low--57/37
November 15 High/Low--52/33
November 30 High/Low--46/29
Bridgeport (BDR Normals)
October 1 High/Low--70/54
October 15 High/Low--65/49
November 1 High/Low--59/43
November 15 High/Low--54/39
November 30 High/Low--49/34
Monday-Tuesday
Today was the peak of the warmth in the coming week, but Monday and Tuesday still will end up much warmer than normal. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies on both days with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s in our warmest spots. Clouds may increase a little Tuesday as we have high pressure build in from the north.
Climatology
October is right around the corner, so let's talk about what's normal! October is even more of a transition month than September, as we lose daylight and warmth at an even faster pace. October can really be a seesaw month, with temperatures in the 80s one week and snow the next. October usually brings our first freeze for most places inland, and can bring our first flakes inland in rare years (outside of NW CT).
Hartford (BDL Normals)
October 1 High/Low--70/48
October 15 High/Low--64/43
November 1 High/Low--57/37
November 15 High/Low--52/33
November 30 High/Low--46/29
Bridgeport (BDR Normals)
October 1 High/Low--70/54
October 15 High/Low--65/49
November 1 High/Low--59/43
November 15 High/Low--54/39
November 30 High/Low--49/34
Monday-Tuesday
Today was the peak of the warmth in the coming week, but Monday and Tuesday still will end up much warmer than normal. Expect partly to mostly sunny skies on both days with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s in our warmest spots. Clouds may increase a little Tuesday as we have high pressure build in from the north.
Above: GFS depiction of temperature anomalies through much of the work week.
Wednesday-Friday
With the ridge building in from the north, we go back to classic fall weather. Temperatures will swing below normal, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s, with the exception of maybe the immediate shoreline. Sunny and dry times continue!
Saturday-Sunday
Originally I kept an eye out for possible remnants or tropical impacts during the weekend, but now that we have high confidence that Imelda will head out to sea, the weekend is looking tremendous. Temperatures rise back above normal, but not overwhelmingly so. We will remain sunny and dry.
Wednesday-Friday
With the ridge building in from the north, we go back to classic fall weather. Temperatures will swing below normal, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s, with the exception of maybe the immediate shoreline. Sunny and dry times continue!
Saturday-Sunday
Originally I kept an eye out for possible remnants or tropical impacts during the weekend, but now that we have high confidence that Imelda will head out to sea, the weekend is looking tremendous. Temperatures rise back above normal, but not overwhelmingly so. We will remain sunny and dry.
Above: The rain we recently had doesn't factor into the drought monitor above, but we all know it--things have been dry. The small patch of south central CT that did not get as much rain during our Thursday "washout" chief among us. Part of New London County probably pulled themselves out of the moderate drought with the rain Thursday and yesterday, but we'll see.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Lows in the upper 30s to low 40s inland and mid to upper 40s at the shoreline. Patchy frost possible in hill towns.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cool. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Lows in the 40s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cool. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cooler. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Lows in the upper 30s to low 40s inland and mid to upper 40s at the shoreline. Patchy frost possible in hill towns.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cool. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Lows in the 40s.
Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cool. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and warm. Highs in the mid to upper 70s.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
