Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather.
As we prepare to turn the page from January to February, the days are getting longer, the average high temperature begins to rise, and we enter a period where big storms can make an appearance.
This week, I don't see any big storms or torches, but there are two chances for snow as temperatures stay below to near normal.
Monday
Tomorrow looks ok, as we see dry conditions and mostly cloudy skies increase as the day progresses. We'll be watching a low develop well offshore and to our south develop and move northeast. Temperatures on Monday look seasonable.
Tuesday
If the low decides to make a close approach, it looks like temperatures wouldn't be an issue, leaving any precipitation that falls as snow. However, given how far offshore this low could be, we may not get a whole heck of a lot of anything. This one is a bit dicey, but I don't think the ceiling is particularly high right now. The trend has generally been toward a more westward (and impactful) track, and with the timing of any snow being the predawn to early Tuesday morning hours.
Right now, I think it will be difficult for areas away from the southeast and eastern portions of CT to see anything meaningful. As a result, I'm going to go with a coating to two inches south and east of I-84. and no accumulation on the other side of that dividing line.
Beware snow lovers, a few ticks west and this is more meaningful. A few ticks east and it's just a cloudy start to your Tuesday. I currently do not expect significant disruptions to travel or school on Tuesday. Stay tuned.
As we prepare to turn the page from January to February, the days are getting longer, the average high temperature begins to rise, and we enter a period where big storms can make an appearance.
This week, I don't see any big storms or torches, but there are two chances for snow as temperatures stay below to near normal.
Monday
Tomorrow looks ok, as we see dry conditions and mostly cloudy skies increase as the day progresses. We'll be watching a low develop well offshore and to our south develop and move northeast. Temperatures on Monday look seasonable.
Tuesday
If the low decides to make a close approach, it looks like temperatures wouldn't be an issue, leaving any precipitation that falls as snow. However, given how far offshore this low could be, we may not get a whole heck of a lot of anything. This one is a bit dicey, but I don't think the ceiling is particularly high right now. The trend has generally been toward a more westward (and impactful) track, and with the timing of any snow being the predawn to early Tuesday morning hours.
Right now, I think it will be difficult for areas away from the southeast and eastern portions of CT to see anything meaningful. As a result, I'm going to go with a coating to two inches south and east of I-84. and no accumulation on the other side of that dividing line.
Beware snow lovers, a few ticks west and this is more meaningful. A few ticks east and it's just a cloudy start to your Tuesday. I currently do not expect significant disruptions to travel or school on Tuesday. Stay tuned.
Above is a GFS depiction for the potential Tuesday event. Some models show more, others show less. I currently lean toward a minor event for some, and nonevent for most.
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week looks quiet with high pressure in control. Expect seasonable temperatures and fair skies. By Thursday evening we're likely watching to see what comes for the next frontal passage and area of low pressure that may develop and ride the boundary. Which leads us to Friday...
Wednesday-Thursday
The middle of the week looks quiet with high pressure in control. Expect seasonable temperatures and fair skies. By Thursday evening we're likely watching to see what comes for the next frontal passage and area of low pressure that may develop and ride the boundary. Which leads us to Friday...
Friday
There's been some hype out there about Friday for a few days now. At this point, it's just hype. As I mentioned above, a front crosses the region and along it we could see an wave of low pressure form and bring snow. The trend has been away from that, but we're far enough out to watch it casually. Stay tuned on that one too.
The Weekend
Once things are settled on Friday, the weekend looks relatively quiet and cold. Sunday could bring some more light snow, but I'm not ready to start discussing that potential yet given how far out it is.
There's been some hype out there about Friday for a few days now. At this point, it's just hype. As I mentioned above, a front crosses the region and along it we could see an wave of low pressure form and bring snow. The trend has been away from that, but we're far enough out to watch it casually. Stay tuned on that one too.
The Weekend
Once things are settled on Friday, the weekend looks relatively quiet and cold. Sunday could bring some more light snow, but I'm not ready to start discussing that potential yet given how far out it is.
The Dailies
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow by the nighttime hours. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 20%
Tuesday: Chance of snow early with mostly cloudy skies by afternoon. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of snow 50%.
Wednesday: Colder with clear skies. Highs in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Thursday: Increasing clouds during the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers late. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Friday: Chance of rain and snow, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and cold. Highs in the mid 20s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with chance of snow showers. Chance of precipitation 10%.
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Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow by the nighttime hours. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 20%
Tuesday: Chance of snow early with mostly cloudy skies by afternoon. Highs in the low to mid 30s. Chance of snow 50%.
Wednesday: Colder with clear skies. Highs in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Thursday: Increasing clouds during the afternoon with a chance of rain/snow showers late. Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Friday: Chance of rain and snow, otherwise mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s to low 30s. Chance of precipitation 50%.
Saturday: Partly cloudy and cold. Highs in the mid 20s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with chance of snow showers. Chance of precipitation 10%.
As always, please like, share, and interact with us on our social media--on Facebook to share our discussions, and follow us on Twitter @southernctwx to retweet our posts. Hit the buttons below to join.
Thank you for reading SCW.
-DB
