Mid-June has arrived and the official start of summer is right around the corner. After a beautiful Saturday, our Sunday has been mostly cloudy and a bit damp. Heavier showers are moving in as I write, and tonight should feature rain and perhaps even some thunderstorms.
An unsettled week is ahead.
Not too long ago it looked like Monday would be a washout. Not so much now. In fact, Monday is likely to be the pick of the work week as we are briefly visited by an area of high pressure. Not bad for the first day of summer vacation for the kids!
Things look nice, with seasonable highs and partly cloudy conditions. Note that this time of year, the average high temperature in the Hartford area is 80 degrees.
By the end of the day, we'll be watching for increasing clouds and shower chances. Any possible thunderstorm activity looks to hold off until the nighttime hours.
This is a relatively easy forecast, as we look to be locked into a zonal pattern and stalled frontal boundary which will allow for repeated chances of rain and showers to focus on our area throughout the work week. This unsettled pattern doesn't mean sunrise to sunset washouts, but it does mean you will need to keep your umbrella handy each day.
Overall, temperatures will remain pretty constant, with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s on Tuesday, and highs in the 70s (warmer inland).
Some of the guidance is hinting at an area of low pressure forming and traversing the region near the end of the week, particularly on Thursday. We'll need to watch that to see if that becomes our wettest day.
The weekend is looking fine right now as high pressure returns. Assuming the frontal boundary dissipates or moves further south, conditions should be at least partly sunny with seasonable temperatures that approach the 80s. If that doesn't happen, we'll be looking at introducing shower chances during our midweek forecast.
Finally, there have been signals for above normal temperatures to arrive in the longer range, but much like our failed winter...it's always ten days away. That's a somewhat sarcastic way to say that our current pattern remains locked in, and we'll see if or when we actually see a flip to an above normal temperature regime. If it happens, I lean toward the end of the month into early July.
Monday: Partly sunny and seasonable, with increasing clouds and shower chances overnight. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Chance of showers 30% late.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Chance of rain 70%.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Chance of rain 50%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Chance of rain 70%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers and possible thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday: Partly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Sunday: Partly sunny and seasonable. Highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
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