An unseasonably warm week is on tap as a highly anomalous ridge continues to persist over the area, resulting in record-setting temperatures and a train of storms that will bring several rounds of rain to the state over the course of the week and leading into next weekend.
The first of several systems is currently tracking to our west through the Great Lakes, and will, as it moves north, place us in it’s warm sector, and bring a round of moderate to heavy rain to the state starting tomorrow morning and continuing into the evening hours. Expect rain to break out across the state from west to east over the course of the morning commute, with most areas seeing rain by 9-10 AM. Rain persists through much of the day before tapering off west to east in the late afternoon hours, with most of the rain gone from the state by 5-7 PM. Total rainfall will range from a quarter to a half of an inch, with the higher amounts in the NW corner of the state. High temperatures for tomorrow look to be in the low to mid 50s, around 15 degrees above normal.
Rain moves out Thursday morning, leaving us with some scattered showers and cloudy skies, but temps will soar to their warmest levels yet as a warm front punches through the state clear up into central New England. The result is temperatures approaching or even exceeding the seventy degree mark, thirty to thirty five degrees above normal for the time of year. In the more than two years that I’ve been writing for SCW, I don’t think I’ve ever forecast a departure that high, but there it is for your enjoyment or disgust, depending on your view of wintry weather. Mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers linger throughout the day on Thursday, although there will likely be some windows to get outside throughout the day as showers will be scattered and short-lived. I wouldn’t rule out a thunderstorm as the warm air will combine with instability to produce some chances, but don’t think any severe weather is in the cards.
Looking ahead into the long range, a previously mentioned possible snow event for early next week has trended towards yet another cutter to our west, which will likely bring another round of rain and warm temps to the state early next week(Although that is still 8 days away and of course subject to change. We’ll keep you posted). Warmth looks to close out 2015, but as we open 2016, some signs are still signaling a return to more seasonable, if still above normal, weather. More on that in the days to come!
Here are the dailies:
Tuesday: Rain likely, otherwise, cloudy, with highs in the low to mid 50s. Chance of rain is 90%
Wednesday: Rain possible in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon, otherwise, cloudy, with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain is 90%
Thursday: Showers likely, with a chance of a thunderstorm, otherwise, cloudy, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Chance of rain is 60%
Friday: Partly sunny, with highs in the upper 50s.
Saturday: A chance of rain in the afternoon, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 40s. Chance of rain is 60%
Sunday: A chance of rain in the morning, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 40s. Chance of rain is 60%
Next update will be on either Wednesday or Thursday. Have a great night and thanks for reading SCW!