After our heatwave broke on Monday, we’ve had a run of wonderful weather, with seasonable temps and low humidity. For this forecast period, it looks like we’ll slowly warm through the weekend into next week and see a corresponding increase in humidity, but we’ll remain generally tranquil until around midweek when some shower chances return. That said, don’t see anything significant on the horizon, and it looks like the quiet summer days will continue for a while.
A stellar weekend for summer lovers looks on tap, with high pressure remaining in control over the region and leading to warm days and increasing humidity. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s tomorrow and Saturday, ticking up into the upper 80s for Sunday and Monday with perhaps lower 90s in the inland valleys and. Humidity will steadily increase as well, with dewpoints going from the lower 60s tomorrow to the upper 60s by Sunday. That said, it will feel considerably less muggy than last weekend considering the lower dewpoints and temps ~10f cooler; more like a typical hot summer day than a heatwave. Find something fun to do outside (or in the AC), drink plenty of water, and enjoy. As far as skies go, should be mostly sunny, and while a pop-up shower isn’t totally out of the question from Saturday on (becoming slightly more likely each day in the period as humidity increases), anything that does develop should be widely scattered and very brief.
Here’s a look at high temps for Friday – Sunday on the GFS.
A slowly approaching cold front will cause some convection to develop along the boundary ahead of it as it moves into the region. While the front is relatively weak (and therefore not expecting a major drop in temps), it should cool us off a bit towards the middle of the week, although it will remain humid until the front fully moves through on Thursday. Should see highs in the upper 80s to near 90 again Tuesday but dropping to the mid 80s for Wednesday and Thursday. Will include a chance of showers in the forecast for each day from Tuesday onward, and slowly increase pops each day to account for the approaching cold front. Best chance for thunderstorms looks to be on Thursday, but don’t see any glaring signals for severe right now.
Here’s a look at the slow arrival of the cold front – notice the precip moving a little bit further east each afternoon. Think the GFS is too weak with the passing – other models have more pronounced QPF on Thursday and will buy that scenario for now.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Tuesday: A slight chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday: A chance of showers, otherwise, mostly sunny, with highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday: A chance of showers, otherwise, partly cloudy, with highs in the low to mid 80s. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Have a great weekend and thanks for reading SCW!