A picture perfect fall day was what we saw across Connecticut today, with high temperatures topping out in the upper 50s to lower 60s and near full sunshine. If you enjoyed today, you're in luck, because tomorrow looks to be almost identical, with highs in the mid to upper 50s and full sunshine ruling the day. That won't last though, as the remnants of Hurricane Patricia move into the area Tuesday evening and phase with a warm front aloft, bringing a windswept, heavy rain event to the state on Wednesday. Clouds will roll into the state Tuesday evening and increase in coverage throughout the day Wednesday, with rain breaking out over the course of the afternoon from west to east. Heavier rain will hold off until late in the afternoon or after dark, and persist through the overnight hours, with strong wind gusts also possible as a result of the sharp pressure gradient between the low and the high pressure to the north. Some downpours are likely as well Wednesday afternoon and evening, and it wouldn't shock me if we saw a rumble or two of thunder as well. Overall, 1-2" of rain is expected, with locally higher amounts possible. A well needed soaking!
Here's a look at the progression of the system on the GFS model.
Here are the dailies:
Tuesday: Sunny, a few clouds possible late. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Wednesday: Scattered showers in the morning, then rain, with downpours and strong winds possible. Chance of rain is 100%.
Thursday: A chance of showers, especially in the morning, then gradually becoming partly sunny, with highs in the upper 60s to near 70. Chance of rain is 40%.
Friday: Sunny, with highs in the mid 50s.
Saturday: Sunny, with highs in the low to mid 50s.
Sunday: Sunny, with highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Finally, a reminder that on November 1st, we will release the Southern Connecticut Weather Winter Forecast for 2015-2016. You can look forward to high-quality, detailed analysis of how we see this winter unfolding, with plenty of models, meteorology, maps, and more! Look for it here and on our Facebook page.
Thanks for reading SCW!