Generally calm and quiet weather continues through the week, with temperatures generally hovering around normal. The exception will be tomorrow, where warm temps, humidity, and some instability are expected, leading to a chance of thunderstorms.
Hot and humid conditions will be present as a ridge moves over us, leading to some instability. Combined with moisture flow into the area, this should be enough to spark some afternoon thunderstorms, primarily in the northern and eastern portions of the state. I don’t expect an organized line of storms with this system, instead, more isolated cells will form and strong wind gusts are possible, some of which could approach severe levels. Otherwise, expect warm and sticky conditions, with highs in the mid to upper 80s across the state.
Here’s a look at the afternoon storms on the hires NAM. It's not that accurate a representation of where cells may develop, but it gives you a look at the general picture.
Cold front passes Wednesday evening and brings temps down to slightly below normal levels for Thursday. Highs will be in the lower 70s across the state, and we should see plenty of sunshine Thursday and Friday. Temps warm slightly into the weekend, but still remaining comfortable in the mid 70s. Clouds begin to build in throughout the day on Saturday in advance of our next front, although I think rain should hold off until Sunday.
Looks like a two part system is expected for late in the weekend, which combined should bring some needed rain to the area. A cold front will slide southeast across the state on Sunday, setting off an initial round of showers. This will be followed by a secondary frontal wave that will come up the coast and impact the area, continuing the chances for rain through Sunday evening and into Monday. I don’t expect continuously heavy rains with this system, but the region should at least see moderate totals when combining the two systems, and in this pattern, everything helps. Should be some breaks in the rain throughout the day, especially on Monday, so not a total washout for the end of your weekend. Temps should be around normal in the low to mid 70s.
Here’s a look at this system on the GFS.
Have a great night!