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Forecasters Discussion for December 22nd 2016

12/22/2016

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Good evening from Southern Connecticut Weather!
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   Quiet but seasonable weather continued for today. Temperatures made it mainly into the upper 30s and 40s statewide under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with even a stray snow shower in far NW CT. Tonight skies clear and temps dip back through the 30s and into the 20s inland under mostly clear skies. So watch for some slick spots on the roads from refreezing of melted snow. As we look ahead to tomorrow, looks like another quiet day with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s inland to the low and mid 40s at the shore with mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Clear and calm conditions continue through Friday night with temps again dipping back into the mid and upper 20s inland with lower 30s at the shore. 
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​   If you are looking for some snow to add to the holiday spirit, outside of far northwestern Connecticut, you will most likely be disappointed as we head into Christmas Eve. Clouds will be on the increase Saturday morning with precipitation moving in for the early afternoon from west to east. There could be just enough cold locked in place for Litchfield county that this precipitation could start as a little snow but looks to quickly change to sleet and freezing rain and then plain rain. Reasoning for this event being mainly rain, the stale cold airmass will be rapidly eroded by southwest winds promoting warming. Mid levels will already be above freezing by the time the precipitation moves in, so no help there in terms of frozen precipitation. Rain could locally be quite heavy on Saturday afternoon, take it easy as you do some last minute shopping (or in some cases start and finish shopping). Temps early in the day will move from the upper 20s and low 30s to the mid and upper 30s inland to low 40s at the shore, so freezing rain does not look like it will be an issue throughout much of Saturday's weather maker. Later on Saturday night, skies will clear and temps will again dip below freezing, so please be careful as you head to and from holiday celebrations with black ice on roads being likely.
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​   For the all important Christmas forecast, it looks as if conditions will be mostly tranquil with temps early on Sunday morning being in the upper 20s inland and low to mid 30s at the shore, so make sure you throw on a jacket as young and old go outside to try their new toys. Temps will rise into the mid and upper 30s for highs inland and low to mid 40s at the shore, conditions should stay mostly clear as you head out to gatherings. Christmas night, temperatures again drop back through into the mid to upper 20s inland and low 30s at the shore. Conditions again look to be dry.
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​   Early next week we start off with temperatures about average to slightly above. With a storm system moving through the upper mid west, winds will swing to out of the southwest and heights will rise promoting warmer temps for Monday into Tuesday. This storm looks to "cut" so far west of us that the only initial impacts look to be warming temps before a cold front bringing rain showers comes through early Tuesday morning. Temps will again drop to slightly below average for Wednesday. Looking even further ahead, I am watching later next week for another system to impact the state possibly next Thursday. At this point, it looks like mainly rain for us, but we are definitely watching it.
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​   A brief look at long term shows that the pattern looks to become colder and more favorable for coastal storms, instead of the Great Lakes "cutters" that seem to have taken over the weather pattern. This change looks to occur sometime after the new year, and most likely by the middle of January. Remember, it is only December 22nd, there is alot of winter left. 
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​   As always, thank you for continuing to make Southern Connecticut Weather for you trusted source on all things Connecticut weather. Have a great night!-  TW
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    Southern Connecticut Weather is brought to you by Timothy Wrightington Jr. (TW), Spencer Aronstein(SA), Greg Petridis (GP), and Don Bell (DB).

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