It has been a while since we've posted on the website, and that's because it has been so quiet! With the unofficial start to summer here, it's time to start posting longer discussions again.
Tomorrow, June 1, starts meteorological summer, which lasts during from June-August. Tomorrow is also the official start of hurricane season in the Atlantic basin. Stay tuned for a special discussion on the hurricane season in the coming days.
Our start to June will feel like summer, with consecutive days of widespread 90 degree temperatures and rising humidity. However, by the weekend, we will end our quiet pattern and bring some much needed rainfall to the region. How much remains to be seen.
This forecast examines the period through Sunday. Let's dive in.
Tomorrow is our first hot day. There is already an air quality alert for much of the state as we expect poorer air quality through the day and evening. It'll be an air conditioner day for many as a result. For inland areas, expect highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Fortunately, humidity will not be oppressive, and for those at the shoreline temperatures will be much cooler due to a refreshing sea breeze. Conditions look dry.
The end of the work week brings an active weather day, with what may be our hottest day of the year thus far, a chance of thunderstorms, and big change in our weather.
First, the heat. For inland areas, expect highs in the low to mid 90s. In addition, we will see dew points rising into the 60s, leading to hazy, hot, and humid conditions. At the shoreline, I expect another day with cooler temperatures as a result of onshore flow, but it'll be less comfortable as a result of the additional humidity.
Below is the 18z Euro depiction of the heat on Friday, courtesy of Pivotal Weather.
Finally, the change in temperature. First we will have the heat, then the showers/storms, and by the nighttime hours, the change in temperature as the front passes. We will go from hot to cool very quickly, which will usher in an unsettled weekend. While this won't have a major impact compared to the heat and potential storms, it'll be interesting to watch the temperature drop during the evening and overnight period. This kind of temperature drop is uncommon during summer.
This is a tricky, but likely unsettled part of the forecast. After the backdoor cold front Friday, we will cool down dramatically. Highs will go from well above normal to well below normal in 24 hours. Saturday looks like a bad day for outdoor activities, with highs struggling to reach 60 and rain showers given the changing upper air flow.
Sunday looks unsettled as well, and will likely have highs in the 60s as well. That said, we will have a cutoff low develop and the track of that from the east will be critical in whether we are warmer or colder, and whether we see a drier or wetter day.
Thursday: Mostly sunny and hot inland. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s inland. Highs in the mid to upper 70s at the shore.
Friday: Hazy, hot, and humid, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening. Highs in the low to mid 90s inland. Highs in the low to mid 80s at the shore. Chance of rain 60%.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, much cooler, with rain showers. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of rain 40%.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of rain 30%.
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