Spring officially arrived Saturday morning, and it looks like the coming week will bring us some spring-like conditions! Although the week looks mostly quiet, there will be some rain chances at the end of the work week. Let's dive in.
This period looks like the nicest part of the forecast. High pressure will be in control, and that will allow for seasonably warm conditions and sunny skies. Highs inland could be in the low to mid 60s, with temperatures slightly cooler at the shore as the shoreline is under the influence of the colder Sound this time of year. We're not at the point where 70s are common, but this time of year, 60s will do just fine.
The only hiccup could be Wednesday evening, as our area of low pressure approaches. There may be some increasing clouds on Wednesday and possible showers late, but that shouldn't get in the way of a nice three day period.
This looks like the unsettled period in the forecast. There is general consensus on the guidance that a strong area of low pressure will develop in the south during the middle of the week and head northward. From there, however, there's a split on the guidance. The GFS wants to keep the low so far west it doesn't bring much, if any, precipitation to Connecticut. The Euro keeps the low west too, but does allow for some showers on Thursday and a steadier rain for part of Friday. For now, I lean toward a middle ground, with showers slightly possible on Thursday, with an increased chance for showers, but not heavier rain, on Friday. This is something we'll continue to watch during the week in case the forecast turns more rainy.
Below is a GFS depiction of Thursday and Friday. Again, I do think there's some moisture that gets thrown our way, just not a lot.
The weekend is looking mostly quiet. In the wake of the low pressure late in the work week, we should see a cold front push through the region and pull temperatures back a little. That said, we're just talking about a few degrees rather than a wholesale change. Sunday should bring some increasing clouds, as another low tries to develop, but any rain looks to hold off until late in the evening or early Monday morning.
Monday: Mostly sunny and seasonably warm. Highs in the low to mid 60s inland and mid to upper 50s at the shore.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and seasonably warm. Highs in the low to mid 60s inland and mid to upper 50s at the shore.
Wednesday: Increasing clouds. Highs in the low to mid 60s inland and mid to upper 50s at the shore. Chance of rain late 20%.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of rain 20%.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the low to mid 60s. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and cooler. Breezy. Highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Sunday: Increasing clouds with a chance of rain showers late. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. Chance of rain 30%.
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